Our Story

Company History

Projection Point started life in 2009 as a research project to gather data about levels of risk intelligence in the general population. Dylan Evans, a British scientist, was doing research in decision theory and risk management, and became interested in the way professional gamblers evaluated betting opportunities. In the course of interviewing some of the most successful gamblers in the world, Dylan realized that these people thought about risk more clearly than most people. Using the established method of calibration testing, Dylan began measuring the risk intelligence of expert gamblers. In order to see if their RQ was higher than average, though, Dylan also needed data about levels of risk intelligence in the population as a whole, so he teamed up with German computer programmer Benjamin Jakobus, who created an online version of the risk intelligence test.

During 2010, over 40,000 people from all over the world visited our website and took the risk intelligence test. As interest in our research grew, companies began contacting us for advice about risk intelligence. We did some informal consulting, but as demand for our services grew, we decided to set Projection Point on a proper commercial footing. It’s been an exciting journey so far, and we’re enjoying the metamorphosis into a business, but we never forget that what got us interested in the first place was sheer curiosity. Our ongoing research remains a vital part of Projection Point.

Projection Point is a member of the International Testing Commission. "The International Test Commission (ITC) is an association of national psychological associations, test commissions, publishers and other organizations committed to promoting effective testing and assessment policies and to the proper development, evaluation and uses of educational and psychological instruments." - http://www.intestcom.org/

Please do not hesitate to contact a member of our sales team with any queries you might have.


The Huffington Post

October 04 2011, by Dylan Evans THE investigation into the murder of Meredith Kercher was contaminated by many common psychological biases. First and foremost among these was a phenomenon that psychologists call "confirmation bias."

Read it online by clicking here .

C4ISR Journal

June 01 2011, by Dylan Evans ON 4 February the New York Times reported that President Obama had criticized American spy agencies for failing to predict the spreading unrest in the Middle East. This is nothing new; intelligence officials have long had to endure the wrath of American presidents, who often blame them for misjudging the events of the day...

Read it online by clicking here .

The Economist

Jan 21 2011, by J.A. CASSANDRA, in myth at least, was omniscient in her predictions. This particular Cassandra, in real life, risks being horribly wrong, at least according to a research project on “risk intelligence” devised by Dylan Evans...

Our research is mentioned in the Cassandra blog. Click here for more.


May 04 2011, by Dylan Evans PRESIDENT Obama recently criticized American spy agencies for failing to predict the spreading unrest in the Middle East. Now a new study is attempting to discover what makes a good forecaster...

Our research is mentioned in the Cassandra blog. Click here for more.

The Irish Times

Jan 01 2010 RESEARCH IS underway to try to measure people’s “risk intelligence” their ability to gauge probability and anticipate levels of risk....

Our new website is greeted by the Irish media. Click here for more.

Psychology Today

Jan 21 2010, by Susan Blackmore A friend of mine's been developing a test for a novel, and potentially critical, kind of intelligence - risk intelligence. Do you think you are a good judge of risk? Are you good at judging probabilities? More importantly, are you honest with yourself about what you really know and don't know...

Susan Blackmore writes about our risk intelligence test. Click here to read what she has to say.

Casino Online

Mar 26 2010, by Holly Joy Dylan Evans is something of a Renaissance man: Evans’ first publication, "An Introductory Dictionary of Lacanian Psychoanalysis", sought to make sense of the French psychoanalyst’s often bewildering ideas. As Evans admits in his biography, as Lacan’s “ideas started to become clearer, however, they became increasingly less convincing.”

Click here to listen to the Casino Online interview with Dr. Evans.

RTE 1 Radio Interview

2010 What makes a good gambler? What differentiates the successful gambler from the rest of us? And is there anything that we can learn or gain from someone who is an expert gambler? Many people think that there was no such thing as a successful gambler, and that everybody loses in the end...

Click here to listen to or download the RTE 1 interview with Dr. Evans.

Metro Herald

Jan 21 2010, by Ross McDonagh THERE is such a thing as an expert gambler, an Dr. Evans is setting out to find out what makes one. Dr. Evans, behavioural scientist at UCC, has devised a test which measures 'Risk Intelligence'. His hypothesis is that expert gamblers...

Click here to download the Metro Herald newspaper article.

The Business

May 03 2009, by John Murray An interview with Dr. Evans' research in prediction markets on the RTE Radio 1 programme,

Click here to listen to the radio interview with Dr. Evans.