Risk Intelligence: How to Live with Uncertainty

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Dylan Evans

Publication Date:

17 April 2012 (US); 1 July 2012 (Uk)


There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn't correlate with IQ, and most psychologists failed to spot it because it is found in such a disparate, rag-tag group of people - American weather-forecasters, professional gamblers, and hedge-fund managers, for example.

This book shows just how important risk intelligence is. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers, for instance - seem unable to navigate what Evans calls the "darkened room", the domain of doubt and uncertainty.

Risk Intelligence is a traveller's guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing with climate change to combating terrorism. He argues that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but about how to make decisions in all aspects of our lives.

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Published in the US by Free Press on 17 April 2012:

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  • To be published in the UK by Atlantic Books on 1 July 2012

  • click here to pre-order on Amazon.co.uk